On Wednesday, the World Economic Forum (WEF) released its Future of Jobs Report 2025, with CNN immediately highlighting the finding that 40 percent of companies plan workforce reductions due to AI automation. But the report's broader analysis paints a far more nuanced picture than CNN's headline suggests: It finds that AI could create 170 million new jobs globally while eliminating 92 million positions, resulting in a net increase of 78 million jobs by 2030.
世界經濟論壇(WEF)週三發布了《2025 年就業前景報告》,CNN 隨即報導指出,40%的公司計劃因人工智慧自動化而裁員。但該報告的更全面分析呈現出比 CNN 標題所暗示的更為細膩的圖像:報告發現,人工智慧可能在全球創造 1.7 億個新的工作機會,同時淘汰 9200 萬個職位,到 2030 年將淨增 7800 萬個工作機會。
"Half of employers plan to re-orient their business in response to AI," writes the WEF in the report. "Two-thirds plan to hire talent with specific AI skills, while 40% anticipate reducing their workforce where AI can automate tasks."
世界經濟論壇在報告中寫道:「一半的雇主計劃重新調整其業務以應對人工智慧。」「三分之二的雇主計劃招聘擁有特定人工智慧技能的人才,而 40%的雇主預計將在人工智慧可以自動化任務的地方裁員。」
The survey collected data from 1,000 companies that employ 14 million workers globally. The WEF conducts its employment analysis every two years to help policymakers, business leaders, and workers make decisions about hiring trends.
該調查收集了來自全球 1000 家僱傭 1400 萬名員工的公司數據。世界經濟論壇每兩年進行一次就業分析,以幫助決策者、企業領導者和員工就招聘趨勢做出決策。
The new report points to specific skills that will dominate hiring by 2030. Companies ranked AI and big data expertise, networks and cybersecurity, and technological literacy as the three most in-demand skill sets.
這份新報告指出了到 2030 年將主導招聘的特定技能。公司將人工智慧和大數據專業知識、網路和網路安全以及科技素養列為三個最受需求的技能組合。
The WEF identified AI as the biggest potential job creator among new technologies, with 86 percent of companies expecting AI to transform their operations by 2030.
世界經濟論壇將人工智慧確定為新興技術中最大的潛在就業創造者,86%的公司預計人工智慧將在 2030 年前改變其運營方式。
Declining job categories
就業類別減少
The WEF report also identifies specific job categories facing decline. Postal service clerks, executive secretaries, and payroll staff top the list of shrinking roles, with changes driven by factors including (but not limited to) AI adoption. And for the first time, graphic designers and legal secretaries appear among the fastest-declining positions, which the WEF tentatively links to generative AI's expanding capabilities in creative and administrative work.
世界經濟論壇的報告還指出了面臨衰退的特定工作類別。郵政服務職員、行政秘書和薪資職員位居縮減職位列表的首位,其變化是由包括(但不限於)人工智慧採用在內的多種因素驅動的。而且,圖形設計師和法律秘書首次出現在下降最快的職位中,世界經濟論壇初步將其與生成式人工智慧在創意和行政工作中不斷擴展的能力聯繫起來。